Q3 Market Report – Northern Rivers & Southern Gold Coast

Report Period: July – September 2025

Q3 2025 Market Report –

  • Regional Data & Highlights: Strong annual gains across Tweed, Byron, Ballina and the Southern Gold Coast, with off-market demand driving results.
  • Compass Success: 15 properties secured this quarter — 76% off-market, reflecting deep agent relationships and rapid outcomes.
  • Supply & Development: Listings remain 32–36% below five-year averages; buyers face tight stock and fierce competition.
  • Compass Partnerships: Compass named Buyers Agency of Choice for Northern Rivers & Southern Gold Coast via partnership with View.com.au.
  • Luxury Property Highlight: Villa Casa, Gold Coast – seven-bed architectural masterpiece showcased with industry partners.
  • Q4 2025 Outlook: Ongoing supply shortage and strong interstate demand to sustain upward pressure into summer.

Regional Highlights – Q3 2025

Southern Gold Coast

Median house prices up 7.8% year-on-year, fuelled by strong interstate migration and continued demand for boutique coastal apartments near the beach. Burleigh Heads, Palm Beach and Tugun remain highly competitive, with limited stock and fast-moving sales as lifestyle relocators and downsizers drive momentum.

Tweed Shire

Kingscliff (+10.4%) and Cabarita Beach (+13.6%) outperformed broader markets, with average selling times of 66–74 days compared to the 155-day regional average. Banora Point gained traction with families and upsizers seeking renovated homes under $1.2M, while 67% of buyers were interstate. The record $7.5M AMARETTO penthouse set a new prestige benchmark across the Tweed Coast.

Byron Shire

Market remains steady at a $2.3M median, supported by demand for eco-lifestyle acreage and dual-income hinterland homes in Federal, Bangalow and Coorabell. Increased activity in the sub-$2M range, particularly around Mullumbimby, Suffolk Park and Ocean Shores, highlights renewed confidence among local and mid-tier buyers.

Ballina Shire/Lennox Head

Median prices rose 6.2% annually, driven by strong demand from family movers and coastal downsizers. Lennox Head continues to rank among the fastest-moving markets in the region, with listings averaging just 52 days on market amid limited new supply and growing migration from Brisbane and Sydney.

15 Properties Secured by Compass in Q3

Featured Success Stories:

1 Lydford Close, Bonogin QLD

5 Bed, 4 Bath, 5 Car – 3854m² View Property

Gold Coast–based clients, including a former USA real estate professional, engaged Compass after several near misses in a tight market. Within weeks, our team sourced and secured their ideal coastal home through exclusive local connections – a standout result achieved through precision, persistence, and deep market access. Secured by Lee Dowdall

51 Ti Tree Ave, Bogangar

7 Bed, 3 Bath, 2 Car – 717m² View Property

Brisbane couple relocating for lifestyle engaged Compass after missing out at auction. Seeking confidence and local insight, our team guided them to the right pocket of Cabarita and secured their ideal coastal home swiftly and strategically — ensuring they bought well in a highly competitive market. Bought by Lee Dowdall

17 Glendale Crescent, Ocean Shores

3 Bed, 2 Bath, 1 Car – 600m² View Property

Secured for first home buyers after 12 months of independent searching. Within just two weeks of engagement, Compass Buyers Agent Lee Dowdall sourced and secured the perfect home — an exceptional off-market success that delivered speed, value, and confidence for new entrants to the market. Bought by Lee Dowdall

13 Gibson St, Kingscliff

4 Bed, 2 Bath, 2 Car – 791m² View Property

Secured for Gold Coast clients relocating to Kingscliff for lifestyle. After narrowly missing out on a few properties, our clients were looking for a large family home with renovation potential positioned on a quiet elevated street. Our team found and secured this property without competition, securing it exclusively Off Market within 3 weeks of engagement. Bought by Harley Peachey

Supply & Development

Only around 120 homes sold in Kingscliff and 40 in Cabarita/Casuarina over the past 12 months – volumes sitting roughly 35% below long-term averages. Active listings remain 32–36% under five-year norms, meaning less choice, stronger competition, and faster sales for quality properties.

Tweed Shire Council has confirmed a significant housing shortfall and is assessing flood-resilient infill sites to meet future demand. For buyers, this environment creates both urgency and risk – acting quickly is essential, but so is ensuring proper due diligence and accurate price comparisons.

The launch of CABA Residences at 10 Cypress Crescent drew over 600 expressions of interest, with around 45% converting to deposit-paid buyers. These 200–470sqm off-the-plan luxury apartments highlight the shift toward new, high-end alternatives for purchasers unable to secure established beachfront homes.

Compass has also seen surging demand for luxury new builds in recent months, reflecting strong confidence at the upper end of the market and a continued shortage of quality, ready-to-move-in coastal stock.

Compass Buying 76% Off Market

76% of Compass deals completed pre or off-market, preserving buyer privacy and avoiding public auction competition. Direct relationships with selling agents create opportunities before properties hit the market.

Importantly, 1 in 3 homes were secured exclusively, meaning no other buyers viewed the property. This is an incredible achievement in a very tight market.

Compass Partnerships

Compass is proud to partner with View.com.au as the Buyers Agency of Choice for the Northern Rivers and Southern Gold Coast. This collaboration connects motivated buyers with Compass’s expert advocacy and local insight across one of Australia’s most sought-after lifestyle regions. Together, Compass and View are helping more people move with confidence — combining trusted property data with the personalised, on-the-ground expertise that defines the Compass approach.

Learn more in this partnership here.

Luxury Property Highlight – Villa Casa

Compass team were lucky to receive a VIP invite from the WhiteFox Gold Coast team to view this incredible property. Currently on the market via Expressions of Interest via Dijana Speak and Nic Whitehead. This 7 Bed, 8 Bath, 8 Car is set on over 1 Acre with dramatic 180 degree views of the Gold Coast skyline.

See this property here.

Outlook: Q4 2025

What Buyers Should Expect

Scarcity of developable land plus sustained interstate demand expected to maintain upward pressure on established dwellings. For buyers, this means competition will remain strong and price discovery requires local expertise.

New Stock Timeline

Construction remains muted due to high build costs, limiting new alternatives. Completion of various high end projects including Kloud by Graya completion will establish new premium benchmarks in the local market.

Migration Trends

Lifestyle migration remains the primary driver for interstate demand into the region. Buyers relocating from major cities seek community, beach access and village charm. Understanding these motivations helps position offers effectively against competing buyers.

Disclaimer: This report reflects market conditions as of October 2025. Property investment involves risk. Seek independent advice.

Sources: Compass Buyers Agency | NSW Government Infrastructure Data

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